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Industrial AI · Test results

How well did the AI recognise the pattern?

See how a model was tested on recorded machine readings, including the cases it got wrong. The detailed method and limits are available below.

Supervised ML · fitted in this portfolio

A learned classifier you can inspect

Can measured cycle features separate recordings labelled with pump leakage? This baseline learns coefficients from 1,653 training cycles in the public archive and retains every held-out prediction.

UCI source

Same-rig random holdout, not plant validation. Neighbouring cycles can share operating conditions. The reported result does not establish performance on a new machine, future period or client plant.

Held-out accuracy97.28%552 recorded cycles
Majority-class baseline55.43%Chosen from training rows
Leakage recall93.90%Known leakage rows detected
Missed leakage rows15Open the failures below

Confusion matrix · threshold fixed at 0.5

Source label ↓ / model →No leakageLeakage
No recorded leakage306True negatives0False positives
Recorded leakage15False negatives231True positives

Positive means weak or severe pump leakage in the experiment annotations. These predictions use the entire 60-second cycle.

Ranking behaviour · ROC

000.50.511False-positive rateAUC 0.9992True-positive rate

AUC describes score ranking. It does not validate probability calibration or choose a production alarm threshold.

Errors remain visible

15 genuine held-out errors

All 15 misses are weak-leakage-labelled cycles in this split. This observation does not establish a cause for the errors.

Original rowRecorded classLeakage scoreModel decisionInspect
390Weak recorded leakage44.84%No-leakage class
421Weak recorded leakage45.55%No-leakage class
1146Weak recorded leakage43.85%No-leakage class
1154Weak recorded leakage35.36%No-leakage class
1156Weak recorded leakage22.83%No-leakage class
1157Weak recorded leakage42.95%No-leakage class
1736Weak recorded leakage46.94%No-leakage class
1739Weak recorded leakage38.10%No-leakage class
1741Weak recorded leakage41.55%No-leakage class
1743Weak recorded leakage40.83%No-leakage class
1747Weak recorded leakage41.64%No-leakage class
1862Weak recorded leakage48.64%No-leakage class
1871Weak recorded leakage43.38%No-leakage class
1876Weak recorded leakage43.75%No-leakage class
1879Weak recorded leakage43.98%No-leakage class
Inspect the review-workload assumptions
Illustrative business scenario

What would a review workflow cost?

Review every flagged cycle and keep a full routine check for every unflagged cycle. Account for extra correction work without assuming that a model can clear a machine as safe.

Measured test evidence552 held-out cycles · 15 missed leakage labels · 0 false flagsInspect source records

Your operating assumptions

Sample values to edit. These are not client measurements or industry averages.

Correction time and per-item costs

Every observed mistake is charged extra correction effort in this scenario. Search uses recorded misses; the additional cost of its chosen method is entered above.

Conditional monthly projection
Routine check of every cycle33.3h
With review, fallback and corrections27.7h

5.6 hours of capacity released under these assumptions.

Flags to review
418.5
Routine checks retained
581.5
Misclassifications to resolve
27.2
Modeled cost advantage after operating cost₹966/ month

Includes ₹1,000 in extra operating costs. Capacity value is not cash saved or revenue.

Workload break-even: about 509 items / month if the same mix and timings hold.

How the workload is counted

Flags receive review. Every non-flagged cycle keeps the full routine check, including missed leakage labels. Misclassifications also add correction time. This assumes errors are identified during review; the review process itself has not been validated.

Applying this workflow to 552 source examples would require 231 review steps, 321 fallback steps and 15 extra correction steps. Corrections overlap those queues. Projected counts can be fractional and do not describe observed customer cases.

Labor value = minutes × assumed hourly team cost ÷ 60. Net difference subtracts fixed and per-item incremental operating cost. Setup and training costs are excluded unless entered in operating cost. Zero activity still incurs the assumed fixed cost; negative results remain visible.

All features use the full 60-second recording. A same-rig benchmark does not validate another machine, early warning or a safe maintenance action. No avoided downtime or production savings are assumed.

Review before saving

hydraulic-workflow-scenario.json

This captures your current entries and review. Check the sources and assumptions before using the brief.

Read the calculation notes

Review before saving

hydraulic-ml-experiment.json

This captures your current entries and review. Check the sources and assumptions before using the brief.

Includes the learned model, split identities, original source references, metrics and selected inference.